Archive for the ‘Exchange rates’ Category

Differential Forward Strategy

Forward exchange rates are very poor predictors of future spot exchange rates, in contrast to the theories of covered interest rate parity and unbiased forward parity. As a result, one can take advantage of these apparent market “inefficiencies” by hedging the currency 100% when the forward rate pays you to do it and hedging 0% when the forward rate is against you. The differential forward strategy has generated consistently good results over a long time and over a broad set of currency pairs.


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